December 9, 2022

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The GBP is the strongest and the NZD is the weakest as the NA session begins

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The USD is mixed

As the North American session begins, the GBP is the strongest and the NZD is the weakest after the RBNZ kept the OCR unchanged after their policy meeting.  RBNZ Governor Orr was supremely confident and characterized the pause in rates as something akin to a blip. His comments on housing – and similar comments in the statement –  was overwhelmingly upbeat and that sent NZD/USD higher soon after the decision, but the pair has moved lower since the run higher and trades nearer the lows for the day. The USD is mixed in early trading with gains vs the JPY, CHF and NZD and declines vs the EUR, GBP and CAD.  The greenback is unchanged vs the AUD.  Boston Fed’s Rosengren joined the more hawkish camp saying bond purchases aren’t the right policy tool to address economy’s current problems.

The USD is mixed

Looking at the ranges, the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, USDCAD, and AUDUSD all have low to high trading ranges of 38 pips or less with the EURUSD at a smallish 28 pips (vs a month long average of 51 pips). The NZD pairs have oversized ranges as a result of the volatility after the rate decision.

The ranges and changes for the major currency pairs
A look at other markets as North American trading gets underway:

  • Spot gold is up $0.82 or 0.49% $1786.40
  • Spot silver is up three cents or +0.21% at $23.69
  • WTI crude oil futures are trading up $0.72 or 1.08% at $67.26
  • Bitcoin is trading near unchanged at $44,790

In the premarket for US stocks, the major indices are mixed after declines yesterday broke the five date industry for the S&P and Dow industrial average. The NASDAQ decline for the second consecutive day

  • Dow, -68 points
  • S&P -3.5 points
  • NASDAQ +4 points

European equities are mixed after most of the major indices fell yesterday (the exception was the UK FTSE 100 which rose modestly)

  • German DAX, unchanged
  • France’s CAC, -0.35%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, -0.3%
  • Spain’s Ibex +0.35%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB +0.3%

In the US debt market, yields are higher by a few basis points further at the curve. The U.S. Treasury will auction off 20 year bonds at 1 PM ET.

US yields are higher
In the European debt markets, the benchmark 10 year yields are also higher across the board:

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