December 5, 2022

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US 10-year yields try to complete the three-candle reversal

1 min read

US 10-year yields up to 1.29%

US 10-year yields up to 1.29%

Risk trades have impressively bounced back since the low early in New York on Tuesday but so far 10-year yields have capped out right where you would expect, falling just short of Friday’s closing level of 1.3003%.

A rise above that tdoay would be a proper three-candle reversal and solidify hopes of a bottom. We’re not there yet but there’s still time today. The tail in the 20-year auction is certainly supportive of higher yields but there hasn’t been the kind of follow through you would expect. Instead, we’re back below pre-sale levels.

If we can’t crack 1.30% today then it will be back in play tomorrow.

Ultimately, hopes for a v-shaped reversal are likely misplaced. It’s more of question of what the consolidation range will be.

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