March 26, 2023

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USD gains, Middle East fighting intensifies

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Forex news for Asia trading on
12 May

fighting in the Middle East (Israel / Gaza) intensified with barrages
of rocket attacks. Asia FX seemed as if it wanted to sit it out
awaiting the US CPI data (due at 1230GMT today) but the geo-political
events saw the USD gain across the major board. Escalation beyond
Israel / Gaza has not been indicated yet but its something to keep an
eye out for. As I post a statement from Israel says terrorist leaders from
the Hamas military intelligence system were targeted and killed. With
any luck the fighting has thus peaked, but of course, I am no expert.
Oil markets showed little response but the yen did weaken a touch
(admittedly intertwined with US dollar gains).

AUD, NZD, GBP, CAD, yen and CHF all fell against the dollar.

note for AUD traders, local bank CBA flagged that Australia might

lose its AAA sovereign debt rating:

  • We
    think the rating remains on a very fine line, with a downgrade the
    more likely outcome.
  • The
    economic situation is clearly improving quickly
  • but
    the government has spent budget improvement on new stimulus

See bullets above for more on this. 

equities … there was no sign of the Bank of Japan buying
interest in the Topix. 

Nikkei -0.6%, Topix -0.9%
Shanghai Composite -0.04%
Kong’s Hang Seng 0.16%
S&P/ASX 200 -0.65%
Forex news for Asia trading onWednesday12 May2021

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